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TESTIMONY
Reform of US Export Controls
Statement of Daniel B. Poneman
Before the Subcommittee on Oversight of Government Management, the
Federal Workforce, and the District of Columbia U.S. Senate
April 24, 2008
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Dear Mr. Chairman and members of the
Subcommittee: I am honored to appear before you to testify on
reforming the export licensing agencies to advance national
security and economic interests. The subject is timely, as
reform of US export controls is long overdue, and the prospect
of a new presidential administration creates a rare opportunity
to put our house in order.
My experience in this area is rooted in the six years I spent at
the National Security Council, where my responsibilities
included interagency coordination regarding US export controls.
I will be blunt. The US export control system is broken. It was
designed for a world that no longer exists. When the last major
rewrite of the Export Administration Act (EAA) entered into
force, the hammer and sickle still flew above the Kremlin; the
Berlin Wall stood tall; the strategy of containment of Soviet
Communism unified the policies and practices of the United
States and its allies; the United States had unique and
unchallenged technological superiority across the spectrum of
military technologies, the United States also had the ability,
through the Coordinating Committee on East-West Trade (or CoCom),
to veto technology exports from any and all of its Western
allies to our Communist adversaries; and Pentagon procurements
comprised the principal engine for military innovation.
The US system of export controls was based on two statutes. The
Arms Export Control Act governed munitions exports and the EAA
governed dual-use exports. The EAA, in turn, was divided into
sections providing for “national security controls” (supporting
US participation in CoCom) and “foreign policy controls” (which
category ended up including all non-CoCom controls, ranging from
restraints on implements that could be used for torture to the
full array of nonproliferation controls). The agencies
responsible for implementing these controls counted on the
expertise of officials who could at least secure the advice of
procurement officials who understood the nature of the
technology to be controlled.
All that has changed. The Cold War has ended. The Berlin Wall
has fallen and Germany has been reunified. CoCom has been
dissolved. CoCom’s successor, the Wassenaar Arrangements, do not
allow one government to veto a proposed export of another.
Globalization has led to the proliferation of technology to
individuals and officials around the world, undermining the
possibility that a “Fortress America” approach to export
controls could succeed in preventing advanced military
technologies. The source of our military strength now results
from the innovation that gives us a technological edge over our
adversaries, and that innovation often comes from the private
sector (e.g., information technology) rather than from the
government.
Meanwhile, the Federal Government has been unable to update its
structures to adapt to this new reality. Advancing technology
has blurred the lines between munitions and dual-use items. The
increasingly anachronistic and arbitrary division of dual-use
export controls into “national security” controls and “foreign
policy” controls, with two very different sets of rules and
procedures, persists. Moreover, the bureaucratic tangle that has
long plagued the interagency administration of US export
controls also continues. Indeed, that internal division and
stress characterizes relations both within and between the
Legislative and Executive branches, to the point where it has
been impossible to enact an updated version of the Export
Administration Act.
Thus, we are left with the embarrassing fact that year after
year our whole system of export controls rests on the power of
the president to invoke the International Economic Emergency
Powers Act.
What is to be done? For years we have witnessed a variety of
attempts either to rewrite or revise the system of US export
controls. All have failed.
We need to go to first principles. Why do we have export
controls? Three objectives dominate:
- To protect US and allied military
advantage over our adversaries;
- To send a political signal to -- or
impose a cost upon -- another government;
- To avoid US involvement in actions
contrary to US values.
The first objective is fundamental to
our national security. But to design an export control system to
protect our military advantage we need to understand the source
of that advantage. As noted above, increasingly the source of
our military advantage is our technical superiority over our
adversaries. That technical superiority increasingly relies on
investment in new technologies in the commercial sector. That
investment, in turn, depends on companies’ success in generating
sufficient revenues to underwrite research and development.
Thus, to the extent that export controls place an undue burden
on US companies and their competitiveness in an increasingly
global marketplace, those controls actually become
counterproductive and hurt US security.
Of course, many export controls do not pose “undue” burdens, for
example, those that ensure that gap-closing technologies not
widely available do not fall into the wrong hands. An “undue”
burden implies either that the technology is so widely available
that US controls cannot be effective, or that the controls
themselves are so onerous that the benefit in averting diversion
of the technology in question is outweighed by the burden on the
technological advance of the US exporter.
The second objective of an export control is to impose a
commercial burden on a trading partner in order to show
political disapproval or, conversely, to remove an existing
control to reward positive actions by another government. Here,
too, before imposing such a control, the US Government should
weigh the benefit of that political message against the burden
that would fall disproportionately on the US exporter of the
controlled item (as opposed to being evenly borne by all
citizens), both as a matter of fairness and of undermining our
technological edge.
The third objective is the least complicated. The United States,
for example, would never permit the export of implements of
torture. It would not matter if such implements were easily
obtained elsewhere, or whether no other nation on earth
restricted such exports, since the export of such items is
abhorrent to the values embraced by all Americans.
From those principles flow certain implications about how to
structure the US export control system. Before trimming our
sails to acknowledge the political difficulties of far-reaching
reform, let me sketch out an ideal for purposes of discussion:
- First, the Export Administration
Act should be rewritten, starting with a set of objectives
of the US export control system, which then drive the
structure of our statutory controls. The anachronistic
division of the law into national security and foreign
policy controls would be removed. Instead, the law would be
divided into sections on multilateral and unilateral
controls. Unilateral controls should only be authorized to
the degree that rigorous cost-benefit analyses established
that they were on balance beneficial to the United States.
The President would sign the revised EAA into law.
- Second, under this new law all US
export controls would be implemented pursuant to
generally-accepted standards of good government.
Specifically --
- License applications would be
addressed in a timely manner according to fixed
deadlines, agencies would have full transparency into
license applications but would have an affirmative
obligation to object. In other words, silence on an
application would be deemed to constitute consent to the
granting of the license. Thus, the process would default
to a decision, not default to inaction or paralysis.
- An agency objecting to the
granting of a license could appeal a decision to approve
the license, only in such case as the higher-level
interagency representative – such as a Senate-confirmed
presidential appointee – “pulled up” the application
from below. This would encourage officials to take
responsibility for making decisions, rather than simply
“passing the buck” to a higher level.
- The head of the export
processing function would be accountable both to the
President and to the Congress, reporting periodically on
the implementation of US export controls, with
explanations for failure to comply fully with the
deadlines or other requirements of the system.
- Instead of the current system
of parallel processes for munitions and dual-use items,
a single system would be applied to both commodity
jurisdiction and licensing determinations. Executive
Order 12981, of December 5, 1995, would provide a good
starting point for a system that would allow every
agency transparency into – and a say in – all
classification or licensing decisions, while imposing
the procedural disciplines necessary for US export
controls to comply with traditional standards of good
government. This would ensure procedural fairness among
the agencies, and prevent “forum shopping” by exporters
looking for the “easiest” approval.
- In order to protect the
ability of the US Government to exercise critical
discretion to slow or stop any particular export that
presented a threat to US national security, the export
control system would need a “national security kick-out”
provision that would permit the President to suspend the
procedural disciplines in any given case, provided that
the President justified that action in a letter to the
Congressional leadership.
- At the outset of this new
system, the Executive Branch would review all existing
controls with a view to eliminating all unilateral
controls that could not be justified under the
newly-enacted standards. It would also consider adoption
of mechanisms to “right-size” the license application
pool to the resources dedicated by the US Government to
administer controls. For example, pre-approval of
qualified companies to export (subject to federal
audit), block approval of a series of licenses all
linked to the same system, etc., could be used to
prevent the system from becoming overloaded to the point
of producing inevitable processing errors and delays.
This list review should produce “higher fences around
fewer items”.
- Once the initial list review
is complete, the US Government would abandon large-scale
list reviews, in which federal employees would seek to
establish clear and detailed definitions of which goods,
services, and technologies fell into which categories.
This has always been a cumbersome process, and often
takes longer to conduct than the technology generations
to which it relates. Rather, the license application
review process itself would define which items required
different levels of control. In essence, our commodity
jurisdiction and classifications would be implemented
more under a “common law” than a “civil code” approach.
- Third, the US Government would
seek to hire qualified personnel to implement this export
control system, and would provide opportunities for
advancement and other benefits consistent with establishing
a career path able to attract people qualified to perform
this critical task well.
I do not suggest that this is the only
approach to reforming US export controls. I recognize that
starting from scratch and going back to first principles could
generate fierce debate, and may fail in the end. But I also
believe that tinkering around the edges of our current export
control system may offer a palliative but no lasting solution to
a problem that has dogged the US Government at least since the
end of the Cold War. Now, as we face the prospect of a new
Administration in less than a year, is precisely the right time
to go back to first principles and seek to design an export
control system that is most likely to advance US national
security for the years ahead, by blocking the transfer of
sensitive items that could hurt US and allied interests, while
protecting the investment and innovation that nourish the roots
of our military superiority. Only a system based on first
principles can re-establish the broad consensus, across party
lines and between the branches of government, necessary to
restore US export controls to the level of effectiveness and
efficiency that every American has a right to expect.
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